With 10 spots up for grabs, the Best Picture race is wide open. That is to say, the race for one of those spots is; the actual BP race is really down to just two, possibly three films.
Golden Globe winner Avatar, now the highest grossing film of all time; Inglourious Basterds, winner of the Screen Actors Guild's Best Picture equivalent, Best Ensemble; and The Hurt Locker, winner of the majority of US critics' prizes, and most importantly the influential Producers and Directors Guilds awards, are the most likely to be the BP winner.
Here then are the films I think will definitely be nominated, some that will more than likely be nominated and those that have a shot at sneaking in.
The Hurt Locker
Up in the Air
A Serious Man
(500) Days of Summer